Wednesday, October 26, 2011

O Chaoda, where art thou?

Annual report 6 weeks overdue.

Why would a few anonymous, disparaged reports of fraud drive one of largest agricultural companies into a lengthy suspension of trading? No idea where Mr Kwok Ho would be but a high probability that when trading restarts, along with the release of earnings, shorts will be burnt.

Why? The time in suspension would be spent on a cash gathering exercise to reassure the auditors that cash is really there. Borrowing on the underground, moving cash around, producing 'books' showing revenues and calling on favors. Weak shorts will be burnt, good time for longs to exit, stronger shorts will survive.

Wouldn't surprise if the chairman conveniently disappears.

Sunday, October 23, 2011

PYE 0577.HK engineers entering film business

The board of Paul Y. Engineering are bored with pocket lining engineers and want to hang out with actresses. Now these engineers are intelligent and they intimately know actresses are attracted either with looks/charm, or money and promises of fame. The later options are decidedly easier so what better than to start your own film company!

Original company activities: building construction, civil engineering, development management, project management, facilities and asset management.

New actress attracting idea:


Note: Third Avenue has a 10.72% holding in PYI. Given Marty Whitman's views on being an "Outside Passive Investor", and his reluctance to engage in any corporate activism, expect him to liquidate this position.